High oil prices, energy supply security concerns, limited spare refinery capacity and targets for GHG emissions reductions have led to a surge in biofuel activity. Ethanol and Biodiesel output worldwide grew by 14% and 80% respectively in 2005 and supplied about 2% of the world’s gasoline and 0.2% of the world’s diesel markets.
According to the International Energy Agency , over the period from 2005 through 2008, the largest volumetric increase in biofuel supplies will come from established ethanol producers in Brazil and the US. Outside the US and Brazil, the largest growth in biofuels will come from the EU, dominated by biodiesel. Other countries, such as Malaysia, the Phillipines and Thailand are targeting Europe and US as potential new export markets for both ethanol and biodiesel.
well-to-wheels
While a range of estimates exists, most recent studies find both ethanol and biodiesel provide significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions when compared with gasoline and diesel on a ‘well-to-wheels’ basis. (See: Biofuels for Transport – International Perspective, IEA, 2005). ‘Well-to-wheels’ refers to the complete chain of fuel production and use, including feedstock production, transport to the refinery, conversion to final fuel, transport to refueling stations, and final vehicle tailpipe emissions).
economics
The present costs of biofuels vary with feedstock and location. Commercial bioethanol production costs currently range from $0.25/litre ($0.94/US Gallon) of gasoline equivalent (lge) (sugarcane, Brazil), to $0.80/lge ($3.0/US Gallon) (sugar beet/UK) with corn ethanol around $0.60/lge ($2.27/US Gallon) (USA), and lingo-cellulosic ethanol from pilot scale plants claimed at $0.80/lge to $1.00/lge ($3.0 - $3.8/US gallon). Biodiesel costs range from $0.42/l ($1.6/US Gallon) (animal fats) to $0.90/lge ($3.4/US gallon) (oilseed rape, Europe; soybean, US; palm, Malaysia).
US
In the US, recent biofuel capacity expansions have been supported by the passing of the US Energy Bill in 2005. The Energy Policy Act (EPAct) represented the first overhaul of US energy policy in more than a decade. The legislation includes a Renewable Fuels Standard which aims to increase the volume of ethanol an biodiesel in fuel to 179 million barrels, up from 93 million barrels in 2005. The bill also mandates the first use of six million barrels of cellulosic ethanol by 2013, as well as funding for research and development of cellulosic technologies. The RFS further includes a Credit Trading Programme (CTP) which allows ethanol refiners to sell surplus credits to underperforming refiners, intended to lower costs to refiners.
canada
In Canada, the main motivation for fuel ethanol expansion (and more limited biodiesel expansion) has been the reduction of Green House Gas emissions. Federal excise tax exemption for the ethanol portion of the blended fuel amounts to C$0.10/litre. The conservative minority leadership will propose an RFS mandating 5 percent ethanol in all gasoline sales by 2010.